LVO 2022 Day 1 Stats

The first big event after the seismic shifts in the game is happening in Las Vegas this weekend. The first heat has wrapped up and we have some insight in to the rosters and what’s doing well.

The first heat had 39 players – a decent size, but I expect that to grow for the second heat on the Saturday. I’ll be doing this exercise again for that heat too.

Affiliation

Affiliations%
144%
254%
33%

We might be starting to see a shift away from mono-affiliated rosters – as a reminder in Season 6 of the TTS league was 68% mono going up to 77% at the mid-season roster change.

Affiliation%
Avengers28%
Midnight Sons18%
Criminal Syndicate18%
Web Warriors13%
X-Force10%
Spider Foes10%
Cabal10%
Guardians of the Galaxy8%
Defenders8%
Black Order8%
Dark Dimension5%
Brotherhood of Mutants5%
Asgard5%
A-Force5%
Uncanny X-men3%
Unaffiliated3%
Convocation3%
Wakanda0%
Inhumans0%

Avengers continue to be popular: characters people love and powerful synergies – they will be a staple in tournaments for a long while to come. Criminal Syndicate was widely anticipated for a surge in popularity, but Midnight Sons might be more of a surprise – its worth contextualising that Blade (and Moon Knight) haven’t been out that long in the US so they may still be riding the “New, Shiny” wave. Personally, I was expecting more Black Order than we saw, as they are such an easy splash affiliation. X-force and Defenders were higher than I expected, but small(er) samples will tend to skew a bit.

Characters

Character%
Bullseye36%
Black Cat33%
Doctor Voodoo33%
Iron Fist33%
Baron Zemo31%
Ghost Rider28%
Toad28%
Venom26%
Lizard23%
Black Widow21%
Moon Knight21%
Vision21%
Blade18%
Ghost Spider18%
Hood18%
Hulkbuster18%
Kingpin18%
Luke Cage18%
Captain America (Sam Wilson)15%
Captain America (Steve Rogers)15%
Mysterio15%
Angela13%
Crossbones13%
Deadpool13%
Green Goblin13%
Iron Man13%
Loki God of Mischief13%
Mystique13%
Okoye13%
Rocket Raccoon13%
Scarlet Witch13%
Spider-Man (Miles Morales)13%
Winter Soldier13%
Cable10%
Doctor Strange10%
Domino10%
Enchantress10%
Groot10%
M.O.D.O.K.10%
Nebula10%
Omega Red10%
Star-Lord10%
Amazing Spider-man8%
Black Panther8%
Bob Agent of Hydra8%
Captain Marvel8%
Corvus Glaive8%
Doctor Octopus8%
Hawkeye8%
Hulk8%
Killmonger8%
Kraven the Hunter8%
Lockjaw8%
Proxima Midnight8%
Quicksilver8%
Red Skull8%
Sabretooth8%
Taskmaster8%
Thanos8%
Ultron8%
Wolverine8%
Wong8%
Baron Mordo5%
Beast5%
Black Dwarf5%
Daredevil5%
Doctor Strange Sorcerer Supreme5%
Dormammu5%
Drax the Destroyer5%
Gamora5%
Magneto5%
Mister Sinister5%
She-Hulk5%
Shuri5%
Sin5%
Spider-Man (Peter Parker)5%
Valkyrie5%
Ancient One3%
Ant-Man3%
Carnage3%
Clea3%
Crystal3%
Cyclops3%
Ebony Maw3%
Hela3%
Medusa3%
Punisher3%
Storm3%
Thor Prince of Asgard3%
Black Bolt0%
Black Widow Agent of S.H.I.E.L.D.0%
Cassandra Nova0%
Jean Grey0%
Ms Marvel0%
Ronan the Accuser0%
Viper0%
War Machine0%
Wasp0%

We’ve been used to certain characters really dominating the rankings here with Okoye topping out at 66% of the field and 88% of top cut lists in season 6. Now we are seeing signs of a much more liberal spread of characters. A cluster of 5 characters being taken more than 30% of the time and then only the top 12 making it more than 20%.

There were some surprises to me near the top. Ghost Rider has two great homes in Midnight Sons and Guardians of the Galaxy, so maybe on reflection I shouldn’t have been as surprised as I was to see him near the top. Core set Black Widow was another one that has two good homes in popular affiliations to allow them to access wide builds: Avengers and Criminal Syndicate.

Outside of those two, it shook out pretty much as I had expected. Bullseye helps a load of affiliations and Black Cat and Voodoo have powerful VP controlling mechanics – expect to see them rise in popularity rather than fall.

Despite Avengers being taken 28% of the time, each Cap only clocks in at 15% making it seem that Avengers players are picking one leader to focus on – particularly if they are part of a dual affiliation roster.

Only 9 characters didn’t get taken at all, and of those War Machine is the surprise to me. He had a great home in Sam Wilson lists, but maybe with the removal of All You’ve Got along with Iron Man coming up and having great tactics cards his isn’t as compelling as other great 3 threats that are available.

Crises

Extract%
Fear Grips World as “Worthy” Terrorize Cities59%
Struggle for the Cube Continues41%
Spider-Infected Invade Manhattan38%
Research Station Attacked!36%
Alien Ship Crashes in Downtown!28%
Skrulls Infiltrate World Leadership28%
Deadly Legacy Virus Cured?21%
Mystic Wakanda Herbs: Fact or Fiction?18%
The Montesi Formula Found18%
Mutant Extremists Target U.S. Senators!13%

As predicted by many, Hammers remains popular as a “priority neutral” extract, that nobody hates. I think some teams are more advantaged than other on Hammers, but that might be a subject for another time. Cubes and Spiders are popular choices, in spite of their asymmetry for round 1. Research station has dropped a few places, but overall the spread of extracts is pretty similar to the season 6 field.

Secure%
Infinity Formula Goes Missing!49%
Riots Spark Over Extremis 3.038%
Gamma Wave Sweeps Across Midwest36%
Mutant Madman Turns City Center Into Lethal Amusment Park36%
Demons Downtown! Has Our Comeuppance Come Due?31%
Cosmic Invasion! Black Order Sweeps Across Earth18%
Intrusions Open Across City as Seals Collapse18%
Portals Overrun City with Spider-People!18%
Terrigen Cloud Sweeps Over City18%
S.W.O.R.D. Establishes Base on Moon’s Blue Area15%
Deadly Meteors Mutate Civilians13%
Mayor Fisk Vows to Find Missing Witnessess10%

The big changes we’ve seen here is the rise of Infinity Formula and Extremis. This may be being seen as safe secures – you are unlikely to lose hard on it based on priority. Demons has sunk a lot, as have gamma and S.W.O.R.D. base – the inability to not choose them based on matchup has definitely had an effect here.

Tactics Cards

Card%
Brace for Impact (R)51%
Medpack (R)46%
Field Dressing (R)44%
Blind Obsession38%
Disarm38%
Sacrifice38%
Heroes for Hire36%
Climbing Gear31%
Deal with the Devil28%
Marked for Death28%
Lethal Protector26%
Avengers Assemble23%
Mission Objective23%
Patch Up (R)23%
Advanced R&D21%
Bitter Rivals (R)21%
Follow Me18%
Siege of Darkness18%
All Webbed Up13%
Deception13%
Hood’s Gang13%
Monkey Brain is Lizard Home13%
All According to Plan10%
Cat and Mouse10%
Deadly Duo10%
Grievous Wounds10%
Helios Laser Bombardment10%
Spider-Tracker10%
X-Ceptional Healing10%
A.I.M Lackeys8%
Aunt May’s Wheat Cakes8%
Bats the Ghost Hound8%
Cosmic Invigoration8%
Crew of the Milano8%
Cruelty8%
Dark Reign8%
Eyes on the Prize8%
Illicit Tech8%
Mothership8%
No Matter the Cost8%
Ricochet Blast8%
Sinister Traps8%
The Age of Ultron8%
The Grand Illusion8%
Usurp the Throne8%
Well-Laid Plans8%
We are Groot8%
Asteroid M5%
Battle Lust5%
Birds of Prey5%
Can I Borrow That?5%
Chimichangas5%
Dark Restoration5%
Escort to Safety5%
Execute5%
Face Me5%
Highway to Hell5%
Inspiring Monologue5%
Lovable Misfits5%
No More Mutants5%
Odin’s Blessing5%
Pentagram of Farallah5%
Pretty Sneaky Sis5%
Seance5%
Shadow Organization5%
Stalwart Determination5%
Tactical Analysis5%
The Cat and the Spider5%
The Whims of Chaos5%
Trip Up5%
Uneasy Allies5%
Warpath5%
A-Force Assemble!3%
Astral Ring3%
Bar with no Doors3%
Book of Cagliostro3%
Carnage Rules3%
Elemental Infusion3%
Extreme Conditioning3%
First Class3%
Iron Bound Books of Shuma-Gorath3%
Last-Minute Save3%
Magnetic Refraction3%
One-Two Punch3%
Orb of Agamotto3%
Plane of Polhldahk3%
Recalibration Matrix3%
Seven Suns of Cinnibis3%
Smash3%
Special Delivery3%
Sucker3%
To Me My X-Men3%
Weapon X Program3%
Web Barrier3%
Yoink3%

There are 65 cards that have not been taken, not listed for the sake of brevity.

Restricted cards are high again, and nobody will be surprised to see Brace, Med Pack and Field Dressing at the top, especially with All You’ve Got moving to the banned list. Bitter rivals has been hit by being added to the Restricted list, but is still seeing a decent amount of play.

Good wide applicability cards are high up with Sacrifice, Marked for Death, Disarm and Climbing Gear being popular, along with strong character tactics cards like Deal with the Devil and Lethal Protector.

Overall, the shape of the rosters looks much more evenly spread than before the changes.

What got played

Extracts%
Fear Grips World As Worthy Terrorize Cities19%
Alien Ship Crashes in Downtown!15%
Struggle for the Cube Continues15%
Mystic Wakandan Herbs: Fact or Fiction?12%
Skrulls Infiltrate World Leadership12%
Spider-Infected Invade Manhattan12%
Research Station Attacked!7%
Deadly Legacy Virus Cured?3%
The Montesi Formula Found3%
Mutant Extremists Target U.S. Senators!3%

It’s difficult to read too much in to these choices, as they are now random, but Alien Ship seems a little high compared to the spread in rosters. This is portably natural random variation, but I can see a picture where those running those slower brawlier crises are actively choosing extract when they see secures opposite them.

Secures%
Infinity Formula Goes Missing!24%
Riots Spark Over Extremis 3.018%
Gamma Wave Sweeps Across Midwest10%
Mutant Madman Turns City Center Into Lethal Amusement Park9%
Demons Downtown! Has Our Comeuppance Come Due?7%
Portals Overrun City With Spider-People!7%
Terrigen Clouds Sweep Over City6%
Cosmic Invasion! Black Order Descends on Earth4%
Intrusions Open Across City as Seals Collapse4%
S.W.O.R.D. Establishes Base on Moons Blue Area4%
Deadly Meteors Mutate Civilians3%
Mayor Fisk Vows to Find Missing Witnesses3%

A lot of infinity formula and Extremis. Again, due to the random nature it isn’t surprising to see a spread similar to that in the roster selection.

Threat%
143%
159%
163%
1746%
1815%
197%
2012%

With a lot of core box crises being popular, it isn’t surprising to see a lot of 17 threat being played. When roster building, making sure you 17 threat squad is solid is going to be a big consideration if this continues.

What was wining?

One stat that jumped out at me was priority: 65% of games were won by the player without priority. Now this is a small sample size of 68, but assuming that priority is a 50% win:loss, this has a 1% chance of randomly happening. Even with this small sample size that might indicate there is at least some, and potentially significant, advantage to losing priority. I’ll be keen to monitor this across LVO and in to season 7.

Three players went undefeated across four rounds:

Hyper Viper: Avengers

CharactersTactics CardsExtracts
Black CatAdvanced R&DFear Grips World as “Worthy” Terrorize Cities
Black WidowAvengers AssembleMystic Wakanda Herbs: Fact or Fiction?
Captain America (Sam Wilson)Brace for Impact (R)Spider-Infected Invade Manhattan
Captain America (Steve Rogers)Disarm
Doctor VoodooEscort to SafetySecures
HulkField Dressing (R)Gamma Wave Sweeps Across Midwest
Iron FistFollow MeMutant Madman Turns City Center Into Lethal Amusment Park
Iron ManHeroes for HirePortals Overrun City with Spider-People!
Luke CageRicochet Blast
VisionSacrifice

Joseph Hanson: X-force, Avengers, Dark Dimension

CharactersTactics CardsExtracts
CableAvengers AssembleFear Grips World as “Worthy” Terrorize Cities
DeadpoolBlind ObsessionResearch Station Attacked!
DominoBrace for Impact (R)Mutant Extremists Target U.S. Senators!
Baron ZemoCat and Mouse
Captain America (Steve Rogers)Dark RestorationSecures
DormammuHeroes for HireS.W.O.R.D. Establishes Base on Moon’s Blue Area
HoodHood’s GangGamma Wave Sweeps Across Midwest
Luke CageMedpack (R)Mayor Fisk Vows to Find Missing Witnessess
ShuriSacrifice
NebulaFace Me

Kevin Cruz: Midnight Sons, Avengers

CharactersTactics CardsExtracts
BladeBats the Ghost HoundFear Grips World as “Worthy” Terrorize Cities
Moon KnightBlind ObsessionAlien Ship Crashes in Downtown!
Iron FistHelios Laser BombardmentResearch Station Attacked!
Ghost RiderSmash
Doctor VoodooHeroes for HireSecures
Baron ZemoGrievous WoundsIntrusions Open Across City as Seals Collapse
HulkbusterDeal with the DevilDemons Downtown! Has Our Comeuppance Come Due?
Black DwarfBrace for Impact (R)Infinity Formula Goes Missing!
OkoyePatch Up (R)
Rocket RaccoonSiege of Darkness

So Avengers claim the spoils in this first heat: will that continue for Day 2? You won’t have to wait long to find out.

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